RSS

A tour of Grist's Earth Confessions website

The Reference Frame had an interesting post today. In it, he received a link to a enviro-prank website which urges visitors to confess their sins against the earth.

To summarize a funny blog post, it turns out the site isn’t a joke at all. It’s a serious site run by Grist. This blew Lubos’ mind, how could they be so idiotic? I decided to visit to see just how ridiculous the site was. I thought perhaps it was a bit of tongue in cheek.

While the website is intended to be humorous, the concept of eco-guilt is not pretend. Read the rest of this entry »

 
6 Comments

Posted by on April 24, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

Epic Romm Romp

On April fools I posted an article entitled “Joe Romm posts accurate article; makes reasonable claims about climate change“.

It was a spoof on Romm’s vitriolic blog Climate Progress. I introduced a new term in that post: The Romm Romp.

This term is loosely based on the Gish Gallop, which climate skeptics are often accused of employing. The Gish Gallop is a rhetorical technique where you spout off so many “facts” about an issue that your opponent simply cannot respond to all of them.

The Romm Romp is different. It consists of citing yourself repeatedly within the same publication. An unwitting observer might look at all the links within a post and assume that the author has multiple sources for his claims, but in reality he is only citing himself multiple times.

I gave a few examples in my April fools post, but I have the ultimate example of the Romm Romp today. It comes in an April 23’rd post on Climate Progress entitled “What mistakes did the environmental community and progressive politicians make in the climate bill fight: And how do you apportion blame among all parties?

In this relatively short post, Romm manages to include nine links to his own site. He links to no other site at all. Take a look:

Impressive! All in all, the post is 474 words, 104 of which were links. That’s more than 1/5.

Perhaps I shouldn’t be surprised that someone who is as prolific as Romm would choose to highlight his own work. People can’t sit at their computers all day long, and since Romm posts about 7 articles every day it only makes sense that he would need to link back to some past articles, just to make sure people have a chance to read them all.

I’ll say this about Romm. Few people have such belief in their own work that their sole source of information is themselves. That’s confidence!

 
1 Comment

Posted by on April 23, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

Climate Scientists Answer Question: Should climate sensitivity be measured by global average surface temperature anomaly?

Note: I wrote this post many weeks ago and never posted it because I was waiting for some more feedback. However, Pielke Sr. has posted specifically on this issue recently and Watts ran it also, so I feel now is a good time to post it.

This post deals with the the question of whether or not climate sensitivity should be measured by global average surface temperature anomaly. I asked multiple climate scientists their opinion, and their responses are below. First, some background. Read the rest of this entry »

 
5 Comments

Posted by on April 23, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

A quick note on "International Mother Earth Day"

On April 22, 2009, the UN General Assembly voted unanimously on a resolution designating the 22’nd of April each year as International Mother Earth Day. That’s right, it’s Mother Earth day, not just Earth day.

What’s the difference? Well, Earth Day is an attempt to raise awareness about our natural environment. It is mis-guided and anti-human. However, Mother Earth Day is far worse. It is an attempt to humanize the entire planet, in order to give it rights.

The planet has no consciousness and therefore cannot have rights. The application of the term “Mother” is absurd. My Mother cared for me and sacrificed her time and energy for my life. The planet cannot care for us, it cannot sacrifice, it has no time to spend nor energy to devote.

Yes, without the planet we wouldn’t exist. Does this fact alone make the earth a Mother? No. The sun is the reason the earth exists. Well, perhaps we can call him “Father Sun”? No, because he only exists because of fundamental laws of physics. Should we designate next week “International Parental Physics Week”?

Mothers are not uncaring pieces of rock. They are not emotionless expanses of water. They are far more than even the most beautiful meadows or awe-inspiring mountain landscapes: They are human.

I propose a new name for today, the “International Pretending Rocks Have Rights Day”

 
1 Comment

Posted by on April 21, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

Muller answers a couple questions

As I recently mentioned, Richard Muller has been fairly unpopular of late. I don’t think it’s quite fair to him or the BEST project. One particular injustice was an LA Times article written just before Muller gave his testimony. It reads like an attack on the objectivity and motivation of Muller and the entire BEST project. Interestingly, several prominent climate scientists (Trenberth, Santer, and Thorne) were quoted in the article, and they also seemed to question Muller’s motives: Read the rest of this entry »

 
2 Comments

Posted by on April 8, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

Pity for David Suzuki

I enjoy sarcastic and cynical humor. I often engage in writing it. However, this post is not sarcasm.

We should pity David Suzuki. In a recent interview, he made a comment that is worth noting:

TckTckTck: Like so many of us, you express huge frustrations that we are not where we need to be to save this planet from dangerous climate change. Yet you have this indomitable spirit and refuse to get lost in cynicism or despair.

Dr. David Suzuki: I do despair. My wife and I huddle at night and weep for our helplessness. We are losing big-time and I’m enough of a scientist to see we are heading right down the tube. Judging by the past twenty years, we are going backward.

Despair? Huddling at night and weeping? Read the rest of this entry »

 
8 Comments

Posted by on April 6, 2011 in Uncategorized

 

Does Muller deserve the climate blog beatdown?

On March 31 Dr. Richard Muller testified before Congress about the initial findings of the BEST project. He showed the following graph:

He also made a few statements:

Based on the preliminary work we have done, I believe that the systematic biases that are the cause for most concern can be adequately handled by data analysis techniques. The world temperature data has sufficient integrity to be used to determine global temperature trends.

Many temperature stations in the U.S. are located near buildings, in parking lots, or close to heat sources. Anthony Watts and his team has shown that most of the current stations in the US Historical Climatology Network would be ranked “poor” by NOAA’s own standards, with error uncertainties up to 5 degrees C. Did such poor station quality exaggerate the estimates of global warming? We’ve studied this issue, and our preliminary answer is no.

Despite potential biases in the data, methods of analysis can be used to reduce bias effects well enough to enable us to measure long-term Earth temperature changes. Data integrity is adequate. Based on our initial work at Berkeley Earth, I believe that some of the most worrisome biases are less of a problem than I had previously thought.

The inclusion of that graph and these statements have unleashed a stinging response from several climate blogs.

Anthony Watts wrote this to Congress, to be entered into the record. Here are excerpts:

Normally such scientific debate is conducted in peer reviewed literature, rather than rushed to the floor of the House before papers and projects are complete, but since my team and I are not here to represent our work in person, we ask that this letter be submitted into the Congressional record.

It is our contention that many fully unaccounted for biases remain in the surface temperature record, that the resultant uncertainty is large, and systemic biases remain. This uncertainty and the systematic biases needs to be addressed not only nationally, but worldwide. Dr. Richard Muller has not yet examined these issues.

Willis Eschenbach wrote this:

I must confess, I’m mystified by all of this. With his testimony, Dr. Muller has totally destroyed any credibility he might have had with me. He might be able to rebuild it by explaining his strange numbers. But to give that kind of erroneous testimony, not in a random paper he might written quickly, but to Congress itself, marks him to me as a man driven by a very serious agenda, a man who doesn’t check his work and who pays insufficient attention to facts in testimony. I had hoped we wouldn’t have another temperature record hag-ridden by people with an axe to grind … foolish me.

Perhaps someone who knows Dr. Muller could ask him to explain his cheerleading before Congress. I call it cheerleading because it certainly wasn’t scientific testimony of any kind I’m familiar with. I hear Dr. Muller is a good guy, and very popular with the students, but still … color me very disappointed.

Dr. Muller, I’m going to call foul on this one. For you to announce your pre-publication results on this issue is way, way out of line. You get to have your claim entered into the Congressional Record and you don’t even have to produce a single citation or publish a paper or show a scrap of data or code? That is scientific back-stabbing via Congressional testimony, and on my planet it is absolutely unacceptable

Pielke Sr. made these remarks:

All his study has accomplished so far is to confirm that NCDC, GISS and CRU honestly used the raw observed data as the starting point for their analyses. This is not a surprising result. We have never questioned this aspect of their analyses.

The uncertainties and systematic biases that we have published in several peer-reviewed papers, however, remain unexplored so far by Richard Muller and colleagues as part of The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project.

We have explored most of these issues in peer-reviewed papers and found them to be important remaining uncertainties and biases. Richard Muller and his colleagues have not yet examined these concerns, yet chose to report on his very preliminary results at a House Hearing.

Steven Goddard at Real Science has devoted multiple posts to the issue:

What Muller Isn’t Saying – i.e. The Critical Points

Where’s Waldo?

Republicans Looking For Love In All The Wrong Places

Muller Claims 1C Warming Since 1977

Dr. Muller Demonstrates That UHI Contaminates The Temperature Record

Dr. Muller Explains His “Most Important Problem” Statement

Greenie Watch says this:

Dr Muller of the Berkley Earth Surface Group is a tangle of contradictions. He knows all the faults of Warmist “science” and dissects them ably. Yet he goes on to say that he believes in Warmism despite all that. And he does not say why. What the heck is going on?

If we follow the old advice “Follow the money”, however, we have an answer. He is the front man for a geoengineering organization. And they want to say that theirs is the only means of controlling the earth’s temperature. So they employ Dr. Muller to rubbish all the carbon control proposals — which he ably does.

Lubos Motl at the Reference Frame said this:

Richard Muller has presented preliminary results of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST). Let me say that I am utterly disappointed by the reality of the transparency that’s been promised to us. In fact, BEST hasn’t offered anything at all – even though it’s already presenting its result to the U.S. Congress. I can’t even get a single page of the overall data.

I am still waiting to download a few gigabytes with all the raw data – plus all the algorithms that realize their promised quality standards (so far many of them haven’t been done).

Marc Morano has had no less than 20 links posted about Muller since the testimony. He also has posted his e-mail address.

There are others, but those seem to be the main group who has an issue with Muller’s actions. A few have showed mild support for Muller, such as Judith Curry.

I think Anthony Watts might have reason to be upset. He apparently has been personally involved in the BEST project, and he shared his data with Muller. Watt’s claims that Muller wasn’t going to release any findings until certain bias-reduction techniques had been applied. He says that it is not right for them to release results without applying those techniques first.

While Watt’s claim is legitimate, that is an issue between Watts and Muller. In my opinion, it is not a valid reason to dog-pile on Muller and claim he is dishonest, nor is it a valid reason to disregard the findings of the BEST project (which haven’t come out yet).

Some may argue that it is irresponsible to release preliminary findings at all. I disagree, because there are only two possible outcomes:

1. The published and peer-reviewed results match up with the preliminary findings.

In this case, Muller was justified in using the preliminary results as they were representative of the final results.

2. The published and peer-reviewed results do not match the preliminary findings.

In this case Muller has only himself to blame. We laugh at him and anyone who used his preliminary results as evidence for anything.

In the end using preliminary results may be questionable, but it is his project and he can release them if he wants to. If he’s right, then there was nothing to complain about. If he’s wrong, then he’ll be taken to task for it. It’ll all turn out right in the end.

Let’s not discount the BEST project. It is an attempt to have an open and transparent temperature reconstruction free of biases. Yes, it got off to a bit of a rocky (and not exactly transparent) start, but let’s give it a chance. Disregarding the entire project due to one poor decision seems unfair.

[wp_campaign_2]

 
2 Comments

Posted by on April 3, 2011 in Uncategorized