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Monthly Archives: January 2010

The story of the Geography Major's Dissertation

Dario-Andri Schwörer

A big story in climate science right now is the fact that the IPCC relied on a mountain magazine and a graduate student’s dissertation as their citations for a specific claim in their Fourth Assessment Report. However there are few details, so I decided to do some digging. I found out a bit about the dissertation.

I believe this is the dissertation. It is written by this man, Dario-Andri Schwörer, also here. He was a student at the Geographical Institute of the Universities of Berne and Zurich, which is where he wrote his dissertation in or before 1997. He is now an avid outdoors-men, and a self-described ‘well known expert on the impact of climate change in the Alps’. Right now he is engaged in the TOPtoTOP program to promote climate protection.

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Posted by on January 31, 2010 in Uncategorized

 

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More WWF citations found in AR3, three alongside CRU

Yesterday I looked in AR3 and found more Greenpeace citations. Today, I read about the WWF being cited in AR4, so I decided to look again at AR3. I found fifteen WWF citations, and interestingly enough three of them were done together with the Climate Research Unit of East Anglia.

The first is found twice, once in section 5.2.2. Current Models of Ecosystem Change and the second in 15.2.6. Tourism and Recreation of Working Group II:

“Box 5-2. Illustration of Use and Limitation of Ecosystem Movement Models

The study by Malcolm and Markham (2000) is a good example of modeling that uses the ecosystem movement paradigm, but it also demonstrates the inherent weaknesses of the approach.”

“Moreover, a global analysis of habitat change resulting from climate change found that more than 50% of the territory of seven Canadian provinces and greater than 33% of the territory in 11 U.S. states are at risk (Malcolm and Markham, 2000).”

Malcolm and Markham are referenced as such:

Malcolm, J.R. and A. Markham, 2000: Global Warming and Terrestrial Biodiversity Decline. World Wildlife Fund, Gland, Switzerland, 34 pp

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Posted by on January 31, 2010 in Uncategorized

 

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Greenpeace cited multiple times in IPCC's Third Assessment Report

After hearing about Greenpeace being cited in the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment report, I went back and looked at the Third Assessment Report to see if they had been cited there as well. Turns out they were, at least four times. Three of them were from Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, and one was from Working Group III: Mitigation. The first is in working group II: Impact, section 12.1.4. Climate Trends:

“There is some evidence of long-term variations in the Australasian region in storm frequency and tropical cyclones (Nicholls et al., 1996a; Radford et al., 1996; Hopkins and Holland, 1997; Leighton et al., 1997).”

Radford et al is referenced as:

Radford, D., R. Blong, A.M. d’Aubert, I. Kuhnel, and P. Nunn, 1996: Occurence of Tropical Cyclones in the Southwest Pacific Region 1920-1994. Greenpeace International, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 35 pp.

They misspelled occurrence, not me. I can find this cited all over the Internet, but I cannot find the original. There were citations to support this claim other than Greenpeace.

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Posted by on January 30, 2010 in Uncategorized

 

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Osama Bin Laden: Climate change is real and the US is to blame

Osama Bin Laden is all over the news this morning, on Drudge, Yahoo, WaPo, CBS, New York Times, and other sites. What did the terrorist do to warrant such headlines?

He talked about climate change. He blamed mostly the United States, and called for a boycott of our goods. Osama Bin Laden apparently has read the IPCC reports, because he claims:

Speaking about climate change is not a matter of intellectual luxury – the phenomenon is an actual fact

He said that the only way to stop climate change is to:

bring the wheels of the American economy to a halt

Much of what he said sounds no different than any other climate alarmist:

“He blamed Western industrialized nations for hunger, desertification and floods across the globe, and called for “drastic solutions” to global warming, and “not solutions that partially reduce the effect of climate change.” – Source

Could Osama Bin Laden have possibly become less relevant? He has mentioned climate change before, but never released an entire recording about it. He waits until now to do so? I’m not sure the alarmists really need Osama Bin Laden on their side.

I do believe that this is actually very fitting for the near future of climate science. Soon only those who live in caves will believe in man-made climate change.

 
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Posted by on January 29, 2010 in Uncategorized

 

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Cap-and-trade is dead, but climate change regulations are alive and well

Cap-and-trade won’t go anywhere this year, maybe never. However, this doesn’t mean that politicians won’t try and save the world from the threat of climate change. The EPA found in December 2009 that “greenhouse gases (GHGs) threaten the public health and welfare of the American people” – Source. They classified Carbon Dioxide as a pollutant thus allowing them to regulate it under the Clean Air Act.

Direct EPA regulation without legislation is potentially crippling to the economy, and has many legislators crying foul. With cap-and-trade dead, the EPA has taken the lead in climate regulations, but they are not the only agency to create climate change regulations.

The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) requires federal agencies to look at the environmental impact of their potential regulations. On January 15’th, the White House Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ) said:

“CEQ believes that it is appropriate and necessary to consider the impact of significant Federal actions on greenhouse gas emissions and the potential for climate change to affect Federal activities evaluated through NEPA…” – Source

This means all agencies must ensure that their regulations do not impact greenhouse gas emissions negatively. Several Senators said about the CEQ’s finding:

“Requiring analysis of climate change impacts during the NEPA process, especially at the project-specific level, will slow our economic recovery while providing no meaningful environmental benefits,” – Source

Other agencies are involved. Just today the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ruled that companies must disclose potential effects of climate change in their corporate findings:

“Guidelines approved today require companies to weigh the impact of climate-change laws and regulations when assessing what information to include in corporate filings, the commission said. The SEC is responding to investors who said companies aren’t providing enough data on the potential risks to their profits and operations from environmental-protection laws.” – Source

These guidelines also had several detractors, one of which stated that he was:

“troubled by an undertaking which seems so transparently political and such a breathtaking waste of the commission’s resources.” Source

Well said. With the EPA’s scientific basis for their regulation of CO2 under scrutiny it makes little sense to attempt regulation through other agencies. Common sense would seem to dictate that they wait until the spotlight is removed from the EPA and climate science in general before they attempt even more regulation. I suppose common sense isn’t all too common in Washington.

 
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Posted by on January 28, 2010 in Climate change legislation

 

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Obama's SOTU speech, "Overwhelming scientific evidence on climate change"

Obama said:

I know that there are those who disagree with the overwhelming scientific evidence on climate change.

in his SOTU address tonight. I wonder if his evidence is from the IPCC, or the WWF, or the CRU, or GISS? At least he knows there are those that disagree with that overwhelming evidence. He just made the statement so I’ll post the video later when it is available. I’m fairly certain that I heard laughter from the right side when he made that dubious statement. (I did, here is the video)

He also later said:

We have gone from a bystander to a leader in the fight against climate change.”

Not sure what he meant by that. Copenhagen failed, and many blamed the United States. Pachauri was disappointed in Obama and said so himself. How are we now leading the fight?

 
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Posted by on January 27, 2010 in Uncategorized

 

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Gordon Brown claimed glaciers could 'disappear entirely' in 25 years

Gordon Brown made the false claim in October 2009 at the Major Economies Forum in London. He said:

“…in just twenty-five years the glaciers in the Himalayas which provide water for three quarters of a billion people could disappear entirely.”Other Brown quotes

Here’s the video:

While this is no surprise, I haven’t yet seen others highlight this error. Scaring three quarters of a billion people sounds pretty serious to me. Do you think he will bother to correct his alarmist error?

 
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Posted by on January 27, 2010 in Uncategorized

 

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